BETTING BOX
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2pts win Giganticus in Victoria Cup at 12/1. (General) | Strong pace will suit as will trip and fast ground so lots going for one who goes well fresh too. |
Dabbers Ridge: As good as ever on reappearance but might need some cut in the ground these days. Seven furlong specialist.
Giganticus: Admirable Giant's Causeway gelding who thrives on a speedily-run seven furlongs on fast ground. With all those conditions in place capable of putting it all together here and he goes well fresh too.
Humungous: No evidence to suggest he goes well fresh and with this trip a bare minimum could be seen to better effect later on in the year.
Mine: Twice a winner at Ascot (including this race) but those victories were four years ago and he hasn't thrived here of late. Well beaten on reappearance at Newbury.
Laa Rayb: Step up to nine furlongs did for him last time and should be more at home over this trip. Has carried his head horribly under pressure before so might have attitude problems.
Al Khaleej: Flopped at Lingfield on final start last term but had been previously progressive. Resumed upward curve when romping home at Kempton on reappearance and every chance if transferring that form to turf.
Fishforcompliments: Useful two-year-old and ran in last year's 2000 Guineas. Struggled on next two starts last campaign but returned to his best form when runner-up at Newcastle on reappearance. Form dipped again at Newmarket last time but drop back to seven furlongs here looks a wise move.
Presumptive: Went close in two big-field seven furlong handicaps here last season and with fast ground also a plus has plenty in his favour.
King Of Dixie: Kingmambo colt who was a late starter and second in only race as a three-year-old. Successful both starts on the all weather this year and particularly impressive in a handicap last time. Not severely punished for that cosy success and every chance there is more to come.
Little White Lie: Now with John Jenkins after leaving Ger Lyons. Well beaten in three handicaps this season and leap of faith to chance new surroundings have had the required midas touch.
Binanti: 33/1 shock winner of Buckingham Palace Stakes over this trip here at the Royal meeting last summer. Struggled off higher mark since and passed over this time as he normally needs a run too.
We'll Come: Lightly-raced consistent type who signed off last season with possibly a career best effort when third in the Goddard Stakes at York. Has run well fresh in the past so no problems with absence and likely to make his presence felt at the business end.
Skhilling Spirit: Second in this race last year off 4lb higher mark and bounced back to form with a win at Musselburgh last time so not without a chance. Had starting problems in the past.
Dhaular Dhar: Well beaten favourite at Chester on Friday and hard to fancy if allowed to take his chance.
Zaahid: Good efforts in competitive handicaps at Doncaster and Newbury this term, and every chance strongly-run seven furlongs will suit. Fast ground may not be ideal.
Steenberg: Ran in Rock Of Gibraltar's 2000 Guineas but better known as a sprinter and struggled in these seven furlong handicaps here before.
South Cape: Close fifth behind Binanti at Royal Ascot but recent wins at Chester and Goodwood suggest he is more at home on speed tracks.
Salient: Had a busy winter on the all weather without winning. Return to fast turf should be to his liking but others look more solid as he's only won once on grass.
Guilded Warrior: Well beaten by Al Khaleej last time and difficult to see him reversing the form despite weights pull. Prefers soft ground.
Purus: Goes well over the trip and on fast ground but well below the best of these in terms of ability and hard to see where the necessary improvement will come from.
Captain Jacksparra: Improved towards the end of his three-year-old season and won on final start but disappointed on return this year and hard to fancy after such a lacklustre effort.
Trafalgar Square: Has struggled here in this type of race before and unlikely to produce any form good enough to win this.
Orchard Supreme: Close sixth in Group 3 at Lingfield in March is good form in this context considering his lowly turf mark but that was over 10 furlongs and the drop in trip hardly looks the answer.
Middlemarch: Course and distance win in lady riders handicap last July when staying on best of all. Up 9lbs since and this is much tougher.
Count Ceprano: Busy winter on the all weather and little evidence so far to suggest he's as good on turf.
Verdict: Al Khaleej, King Of Dixie and We'll Come are all lightly-raced four-year-olds with the promise of more to come but the last two runnings of this race have gone to those little more streetwise five-year-olds and GIGANTICUS is another who fits the bill here. Barry Hills' charge is at his best coming off a strong pace over seven furlongs on fast ground and with all those factors likely to be in place he looks a decent wager at 12/1. Hills has a strong hand and any support for Dabbers Ridge and Zaahid should be taken note of. Presumptive is another who has his ideal conditions.
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