Eurosport - Wed, 20 May 15:36:00 2009
Eurosport's Simon Reed believes the Madrid Masters final could indicate that Roger Federer is getting to grips with Rafael Nadal on clay.
A lot of people within the world of tennis are already saying that Roger Federer's win over Rafael Nadal in the final of the Madrid Masters is an insignificant blip on the Spaniard's dominance of the game.
I'm not so sure. There are two things which will determine how much it could mean: first, how much Federer believes in his victory, and second, how much Nadal believes in his defeat.
Of course Nadal was tired after his epic semi-final against Novak Djokovic - but only he knows how much the loss was down to that and how much was Federer finding his best clay form once more.
In terms of Roland Garros, though, Nadal is still overwhelming favourite. There will be five-set matches with rest days in between, and the Paris clay will be much slower than the relatively quick surface in Madrid.
And those few factors, I believe, mean that Federer won't even be the biggest threat to Nadal.
That mantle falls to Novak Djokovic. A month or two ago Djokovic looked totally out of sorts, but he's turned things round first with some good performances at the tail end of the hardcourt season along with some great showings on clay in the past few weeks.
There's no doubt he's back to his best - and he has far more chance of springing a surprise against Nadal in France than anybody else.
I still don't think the world number one will be beaten at Roland Garros - but his defeat in Madrid will bring a whole different element to the climax of the clay season.
Before Madrid, Roland Garros seemed destined to be little more than a two-week victory procession for Nadal.
Now, we have an element of uncertainty that will give the entire tournament a very welcome extra edge of excitement.
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The issue of athletes' whereabouts for drug testing purposes has returned to the spotlight again in the last week or so - and I feel that for tennis the rules are too draconian.
Don't get me wrong: tennis, as a sport which requires both strength and endurance, is clearly at risk from cheats using performance-enhancing drugs. They would be a huge benefit to players, and I've no doubt that some have used them in the past.
But having to tell the authorities where you will be for an hour a day, every day, is just too much. The constant demands on a tennis player's life mean that it's all but impossible for them to know where they are going to be in advance.
There are very good reasons for penalising players for missing tests, of course, but what do you do if you go to a tournament and get knocked out unexpectedly early? Do you go back home? Do you head to the new venue to get some practice in on what may be a new surface, a new country and a new time zone?
Do you have to hang around because you've told the drugs testers you'll be somewhere the next day, and you can't get hold of anybody to notify them of a change?
It's different in other sports. Footballers know when and where their fixtures are, for example, and though golfers face some uncertainty about making the cut they do at least know that they'll either be finished for the week on Friday or Sunday.
Tennis, though, is the most worldwide sport of all. Top players cover a horrific number of miles as it is, and when it's late and they're tired and heading to the airport after losing a long match, remembering to notify the drug testing authorities that they're not going to be in their hotel room that night after all, is going to be the last thing on their minds.
Simon Reed is one of Britain's top tennis commentators - his exclusive blog appears here every Tuesday and Friday.
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Comment 119 - 138 of 138
Look I`m big Novak` fan.. and I say if Novak didn’t win Rafa in previous occasions in two-setter, then in three setter - almost impossible.. Yes I’m sure it will be a great match if it comes to it.. but fitness IS a real problem for Novak.. Obviously he improved it, but it is still not enough, and hardly he can improve it more for a short time left until RG.
I say that Rafa is ABSOLUT favourite on RG... not only for fitness, but he is definitely the toughest mentally. any other Clay event Novak came so much close to him, but RG I think still he is untouchable ! Fed on the other side, my point is for a long time - that he is gone.. sorry people.. surely their will be bright spots like this with Nadal (even Nadal can get tired - really it was obvious), but I doubt he can do any damage on RG to Rafa, even if serving like hell (like in Madrid). Simply for me, if someone can impose his play stile to Federer, aggressively, than he can not build his game on winners.. he just hit the net or wide if he is off blanced by good preassure from opponent. It`s his real weak spot in recent times. and guys who can disrupt Fed`s game with their on game are Novak and Murray definitely.
Big question is, I say again, will Novak take that Semi as a final lesson, and look positive still on all that happened.. or he is broken.. I must admit he locked completely broken after the match..
great reaction from people to this final before final, this real classic , I think should give him energy to fight Nadal even harder in the future. but on RG, very difficult job.
dont count fed out. he won on favorable conditions no doubt, but when fed broke his raquet a few months ago ppl freaked out, truth is it shows that fed wants it more. nadal is unbelievable on clay, i should say on comebacks in the final vs fed, but if fed can play how he should play, i say federer wins. fed's forehand was perfect at madrid, if he hits it the same then nadal will be scrambeling and fed will close in on the net like he has been doing in the last couple weeks... ale federer
Gore86 & JamesW,
I agree with you both wholeheartedly. I believe we need to take Federer's win into perspective
1. Nadal had been COMPLAINING about the altitude and surface all week. He felt this wasnt the best way to prepare for the French Open.
2. That surface is NOTHING like that in France-which suits Nadal's game to the others.
3. Hamburg 2007 - we heard about this 'vulnerability' when Roger won under similar circumstances ( Maybe why he wasnt so estactic when he won on Sunday)
4. Nadal had to put some disappointment in Djokovic's mind before the French since he's his biggest threat on clay this year.
5. Rest assured I believe the best is yet to come from that young man.
to all fed fans; be objective get rid of your biased judgements and predictions of fed grabbin RG he must have a chance to win but I do believe his chance is as even as murray's. but far ahead there's a certain djoko and a rock solid nadal
James W,
Whilst I take on board how important it was for Nadal to 'put Djokovic in his place' (as you put it), I cannot agree that Nadal entered a tournament with any other agenda other than to try to win. He, more than any athlete I can think of, is mentally incapable of 'tanking' a match - and certainly not a final, sometimes to his own physical detriment. Think back to 2005, the stress fracture? The competitive instinct is far too strong in him.
Also, to the person that said Nadal was 'lucky' to win his semi - did you see the rally played on that MP on Djokovic's serve?? Hardly luck. In fact, the whole breaker. If that wasn't aggression, I don't know what is. Its called raising your game. They both played a phenomenal breaker, Nadal played those key points just a tad better.
Also, Nadal didn't say he was tired, but he did admit to being a "little low on energy maybe" in his on court interview but followed it quickly with how he didn't think that made any difference.
As for RG, as I mentioned before, Nadal hasn't been in his best form for some months which I believe as been mental rather than physical (seeing as the form has demonstrated itself in the main as inconsistency during matches, one good set, followed by a poor one, rather than a total loss of form in poor timing/feel overall). This loss, I believe, could trigger a resurgence in focus (For the reasons I mentioned earlier). However, if it doesn't he could be vulnerable, but only to anyone who believes - and that is where we have a dearth. There are precious few who actually believe they can do it, and can match him mentally, when it comes to the crunch.
aus1123 (122) yeah ... for once. Want me to look up the other scores?
Fab post James W no.87 agree with everything you said it makes perfect sense...Djokovic is Rafa's main rival and like you said, to say that Djok nearly won is just not good enough is it. Rafa played nowhere near his best and he still broke Djokovics heart!
Nadal was tired after beating Djokovic and Rojer took the advantage, simple!!. Nadal will always be the King of clay
Errr I said Nadal relies TOO much on being fit, obviously they all need to be relatively fit.
But if Nadal gets a bit fatigued his game plummets because he run his opponents around.
I think Nadal will probably win the French Open because of the invincibility factor, but I would love to see Federer win.
For Murray is hard to win Roland Garros, as it is the worst surface for him. But if the shame of Nadal and Djokovic wasting time irregularly will end he could increase his chance.
I can prove both Nadal and Djokovic benefit from their irregular behaviour when serving. This benefits have been underestimated because is like they serve with three balls instead of two.
Passing too time (beyond the limit allowed) before serving bouncing the ball and doing something else increases the concentration of server and decreasing it for the receiver.
There is the precise rule of 20 seconds like foot fault, double fault and so on. Why they could do what they want? Then why other players couldn’t touch the baseline before the ball is hit when serving? The advantage of this behaviour is much less important.
How can I prove it? Try to watch the Djokovic matches between the end of last year and the start of this one, when he could not win anymore. During this period he quite respected the rules of 20 seconds. And the same happened to Nadal in different times.
What is Simon Reed on? His whole piece seems a convoluted way of saying that Nadal is still the favourite to win the French Open! The biggest laugh is reading posters saying Federer is finished. Guess this is what Fed haters wish ... well, wish on! Am sure the AO defeat knocked his confidence sideways but he lso had a lot of "other issues" off court to deal with too ... like baby coming, getting married .. enough to set anyone's head spinning a bit! But he has never lost his confidence that he could get his game back - and that was evident for all to see yesterday. Long may it continue ... he is the "players' player".
Oh, well, a sportsman who relies on physical fitness... that's really odd.
What nobody see`s Murrey like a winer of Roland Garos???I think he is perfectly capable of strangeling his opponent to death with his boring game...
I believe Nadal has a huge disadvantage in that he relies on physical fitness so much.
He is pretty useless when he's tired out, as seen in Madrid and against Murray in the US Open.
I think he's running a big risk of playing long points to tire his opponent rather than using skill like Federer.
People who rely so heavily on fitness and speed, in all sports, tend to burn out quite quickly.
To blushenka: I couldn't care less wether you're tired or not. I write what I please. Just like you do.
**MURRAY LOST TO MATHIEU TODAY IN THE MASTERS GUINOT MARY COHR INVITATIONAL EXHIBITION TENNIS TOURNAMENT(Paris) 4-6,7-6,6-7(super TB).ALSO INVITED: FEDERER/NADAL/MONFILS/CLEMENT/SAFIN/HAAS**
I think both Djokovic and Federer are great threats for Nadal at Roland Garros. At the same time I’m sure Djokovic has no chance against Federer in shape.
Nobody seems to remember the great problem Federer had with various kind of illness, causing him not to train enough. It is impossible otherwise the greater player so far in the circuit to play so bad so many times. Before that period Federer won quite easily against Djokovic on all surfaces. And at Rome the last time Federer showed to be a better player before rain. Now Federer seems to be in shape, and there is no way for other players on all surfaces except (maybe) Nadal on clay.
Peri whahahahahha agreeee.. if asisakovvic think he got the name of tennis players he should go out and play well see how far you make it..... all first rounds... of allllllllllll tournaments? sad hater... cant stand fed has won.. so what its just his first title this year.. he got 58 titles total, 15 masters, 13 GS 30 others.... LMAO
hahahaha asisakovic: Federer has qualified for the last 20 or so grandslam semifinals? you think he gonna fall in quarters??? Do a little research first before you start slamming the big guys ;)
sad sad sad haters of fed.... 6-4, 6-4 game set and match no discussion!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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