Fantasy Premier League

Jeremy Spitzberg & Neal Thurman

The Week Ahead

Thu Jan 17 04:23PM

What a week, I managed to get five goals from my midfield and decent performances from my strikers and I still got beaten down in my group because I didn't have Tevez. The only solice I took from the weekend was that I finally got some value out of the prediction that Keiron Richardson was going to be a great value. I made the prediction at the beginning of the year and it's taken until January for anything positive to come of it so you can debate the merit in the prediction but it made me feel better. So at least I have that.

The other thing I have, and that I share with fantasy managers everywhere, is uncertainty about which transfers will be finalized in time for the weekend and whether Yahoo will get the appropriate changes made if the transfers are completed in time.

One note about transfers and the Yahoo system for those of you new to the game - if a player (say, James McFadden to pull an example that you should all care about) transfers between teams in the Premiership and Yahoo hasn't noted the change yet, they have been very good in the past about that player getting credit for whatever points he has earned for his new team. Where we would all like to see more speed is with people who transfer in to the Premiership from other leagues (including guys like Robert who have been here before but are not currently in the system). What a shame it would have been had Robert had a big weekend last weekend and none of us had the chance to pull him onto our teams for peanuts.

OK, with that said, here's the quick rundown of the transfers you should be checking on heading into the weekend.

  1. James McFadden - In my opinion, a very good player who has never really gotten a chance to play regularly and establish himself. The move to Birmingham (assuming he agrees to personal terms) will be a great one for him. No worries about "adjusting to the league" and he's currently cheap.
  2. David Murphy - I'm always interested in giving a chance to wingbacks who are cheap, guaranteed starters. I have to say that I like Birmingham's chances of being a mid-table team in the second half of the season. I'm not certain about this guy since I haven't seen him play but during weeks where Birmingham have good match-ups, he'll be worth monitoring.
  3. Branislav Ivanovic - I assume he'll be deployed on the right side of Chelsea's defence (reports having him being capable of any position across the back line). Chelsea continue to grind out wins despite injuries and absences and if you can get in on that for cheap, this is an easy one.
  4. Martin Skrtel - Certainly not a sure starter (insert Rafa rotation joke here) but worth monitoring against Agger's fitness and Hyypia's agedness.

Certainly there will be more news to follow - hopefully, involving some strikers (Podolski to Citeh? Alves to Boro? Fred somewhere?) but for now, this is what we have out there as options.

With those already in mind (I won't repeat those recommendations below) here are some thoughts about how to construct your line-up for this coming weekend:

Strikers

I will temper my excitement about Faddy moving to Brum after noting that he gets to start out his Blues career against, well, the Blues (the ones from Chelsea, that is). Not exactly the time to expect great success. My striker thoughts are going to start across the pitch with newly acquired Nicky Anelka. I have a big job in front of me to try to rearrange things to get him in my squad but it seems like it will be a worthwhile pursuit even at 15.05.

Other strikers worth considering... Owen, Benjani, and Walcott. Of course, if you have the money to burn you have to be considering Tevez and Rooney based on the form that ManYoo have been showing (of the two, Tevez is in better form and less expensive so unless you think this is Rooney's turn for a hat trick, then you know what to do). Berbs is pretty expensive right now but you can't deny his form against Sunderland either.

Midfielders

Lots to think about here - first, thanks to our readers for their heated debate on CRon. Regardless of what you think about him as a player or a person, you can't deny his fantasy value. He's having one of the all-time great years for a fantasy midfielder.

Assuming you can't afford to gut the rest of your squad to bring him in now, your best bets are Kranjcar, Malbranque, Hleb, Robert, and Bullard.

I'm still a little uncertain as to how to view Joe Cole and SWP now that Chelsea have two legitimate striking options - both had good weekends last weekend but with Anelka present I'm not certain how Chelsea will line-up. It might be back to the bench for one of the two.

Obviously, if you have CRon, Arteta, Gerrard, BFDB, or Cesc you want to stick with them. BFDB and Cesc have the best match-ups this weekend so if you're buying new, they're probably the best bets. You especially have to like Bentley carving a 17.00 point week out last week despite no goals or assists [He assisted on Samba's goal. - js] - good times.

Defenders

Still a pretty dismal situation for those throwing their money at midfield and striking options but there are a few rays of hope - Senderos, Nelsen, and a few of the guys listed above (if they come through) all offer good match-ups, decent likelihood of points, and a low price. Johnny Evans from Sunderland is a little more expensive but provided a nice 10 point return for those who bought in on him last weekend. He's probably still worth a look at just over 7.

Other interesting options include Carvalho (assuming he doesn't injure something else), Distin, and Sagna if you have a little more money to spend.

Keepers

David James and Brad Friedel top the value for the money list at keeper for me this weekend. If you're shopping bargain basement you have the option of Shay Given basically for free at home against a virtually striker-less Bolton squad. Hard to say who might feature for Spurs between the rumored to be departing Robbo and Cerny but there is also some potential there in their home clash with Sunderland. A particularly bold play would be guessing that Pompey will continue to struggle in the absence of their African attackers making Bywater an unlikely good bet [or Lewis Price, depending on which will get the start. - js].

I wish I had better options than that for you but unless you have the money to splash out on Cech or EvdS, there isn't much guaranteed value at the position right now.

  1. Malbranque would be a good pick, playing really well, but he's suspended. Carr must be a good bet as a rampaging full-back with something to prove, in a KK team at home to toothless bolton, at 5 and a half...

    jamesmhopkinFrom jamesmhopkin on Fri Jan 18 03:01PM

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  2. Shuntsetz

    Get rid of Kirkland, Savage and Santa Cruz. Bad matchup for Kirkland, Savage is ready to see red and RSC is cooling off. Trade RSC for Benjani(nice matchup) then take a chance on NUF's midfielder Pattison. Kirkland for Given should give you some wiggle room.

    gentrykirbyFrom gentrykirby on Fri Jan 18 03:02PM

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  3. Many of us with the RSC conundrum. Drop him for another striker around the same price (12.80 for me) or maybe a fifth middie of that range?

    the_burning_penFrom the_burning_pen on Fri Jan 18 03:22PM

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  4. re: RSC can we be sure hes cooling off? im gonna give him a game or 2 i think

    joshtottenhamFrom joshtottenham on Fri Jan 18 03:33PM

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  5. I think RSC will heat up again when he’s fully fit. It seems that he’s been playing through some pain and not being 100% through the last few weeks. At least that’s what I say to myself whenever I have considered dropping him the last couple of weeks. I wish that every club was as honest and open about their injuries as Arsenal is on their website.

    the_burning_penFrom the_burning_pen on Fri Jan 18 03:53PM

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  6. thanks gentrykirby and burning_pen for the advice^^,i sure want to drop RSC for Bejani..but i got kirkland for(+4.56),i bought him when his price was 1.00(worse than given,haha),i have trusted him for 3 last matches and he plays really well..so,i may be stick with him untill he broke me down..what do guys think?

    shunshetzbhoy_10128From shunshetzbhoy_10128 on Fri Jan 18 03:56PM

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  7. Dropping for RSC for Benjani is an excellent call. Benjani is due, and Derby should be pliant. I totally understand keeping Kirkland. That is a great value. With your RSC savings, how about swapping Savage for Diarra? Looks like he's going straight into the Portsmouth side against DER. And you should be able to afford him. Diarra, to me, is still a defensive midfielder like Savage, but Savage has 54 career yellow cards(that's in all competitions) and only 1 premier league goal since 2005. Although in 21 games with Chelsea, Diarra has 0 goals.

    gentrykirbyFrom gentrykirby on Fri Jan 18 04:15PM

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  8. Savage takes corners, does he not?? And other set pieces??? Diarra will not be deployed in either capacity...

    donegal08From donegal08 on Fri Jan 18 08:40PM

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  9. lot of good the corners do Savage. In 13 games this year, Savage has 1 Successful Cross. He's averaging 0.65 points per game. Diarra is averaging over 2.

    gentrykirbyFrom gentrykirby on Fri Jan 18 10:02PM

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  10. (39)Good point. Glad I am not in a position to have to grab either. Diarra has better long term potential, I suppose.... I believe he has scored in some of the Gunners Cup mathces... at least once... ??

    donegal08From donegal08 on Fri Jan 18 10:43PM

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  11. hemustincrease, i know. i USED to have ronaldo at 20-something, probably his lowest price this season. and i made the mistake of dropping him to fit in agbonlahor and bentley onto my team before.

    rj08_88From rj08_88 on Sat Jan 19 02:37AM

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  12. rj08-88 - bummer, man. however, you do have some buying power until his price comes back down, if it does. maybe bullard (who i like to call, Jbull) will take up that old mantle he temporarily wore before getting hurt and help those whose lineups lacks the weekly shot in the arm that is CRon. i had Cron last year at 12 dollars, this year i have him at 21...i fear his starting cost at the beginning of next season.
    i have a question: if you had 9.60 to spend on a defender, who would you buy?

    hemustincreaseFrom hemustincrease on Sat Jan 19 03:56AM

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  13. whos bfdb?

    irwanbramliFrom irwanbramli on Sat Jan 19 04:00AM

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  14. Blog Favorite David Bentley

    jspitzbergFrom jspitzberg on Sat Jan 19 04:32AM

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  15. Wow, what sudden turn on RSC! One mediocre week - and no love for the man at all. Well, I'm sticking with the Roque against 'borough (doesn't hurt that I have him at +5.59).

    krokodil_gFrom krokodil_g on Sat Jan 19 05:22AM

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  16. I dropped RSC before his last goal-scoring binge, and missed out. Those of you considering dropping him, take note ;-) I also dropped Anelka during his dry spell, and now he's a bit too pricey as well.

    Buy low, sell high... easier said than done, because the idea is that what you buy will increase in value, which doesn't always happen. It's down to good information, good timing, and finally just a wee bit o' luck. If we all had it, we'd all be millionaires...

    pusichFrom pusich on Sat Jan 19 07:35AM

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  17. Did someone notice, according to yahoo fantasy matchcast S.given save - 1 = 2pts, CSheet = 5pts and Tie = 1pts total= 8pts. But it shown save =4???? become 14pts. I wondering how does the calculation work. Is it base on opponents player SOT, e,g bolton have total 4 SOT. If yes then please relook into blackburn B. fridel as Boro total 4 SOT. Jeremy/Neal please advise..thank you

    air_kewFrom air_kew on Sun Jan 20 11:18AM

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  18. hemustincrease, to be honest, i'm not one for pricey defenders. i'd rather get either sagna or someone (or skrtel... thats if he does make a start) of his level who is more likely to keep a clean sheet and spend the extra in upgrading my forwards and midfielders... although if the BPL fantasy would adopt the yahoo champions league scoring system (where if a defender scores a goal, he gets more points for it as compared to a striker making one), then that would make me think about it...

    rj08_88From rj08_88 on Mon Jan 21 01:23AM

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